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2024-12-14 12:34:32

The International Finance Corporation (IFC) and HSBC signed a $1 billion trade flow arrangement for emerging markets.Offshore RMB and Australian dollar rose slightly. Affected by the news, USD/offshore RMB fell 0.1% to 7.2696. AUD/USD rose 0.2% to 0.6381. A foreign exchange trader in Asia said that the small leveraged account that shorted AUD/USD on Wednesday also closed its position. NZD/USD rose 0.1% to 0.5792.Guosheng Securities Xiongyuan: We can be more optimistic about the policy and the market. "The biggest highlight of this Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party is' face the problem and prescribe the right medicine'." Xiong Yuan, chief economist of Guosheng Securities, said that many new ideas and expressions of the meeting directly pointed to various challenges that China's economy urgently needs to solve, and made a strong response to various problems. Xiong Yuan pointed out that the market can be more firm in policy strength and policy determination for at least one and a half years in the future. In the future, the imagination of policies is relatively large.


Australia's 3-year government bond yield increased, and Australia's unemployment rate decreased.The yield of 10-year Japanese government bonds rose by 1 basis point to 1.075%.Canadian Finance Minister: Several governors urged the government to make a strong response to Trump's tariff threat.


Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The opposition party tried to paralyze the government. The opposition tried to get me out of office.Citic Jiantou: We are optimistic about the investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical industry in 2025, focusing on the opportunities of new increase and industry integration. Citic Jiantou Securities reported on December 11th that looking forward to 2025, the reform policy in the pharmaceutical field has been normalized, and the most noteworthy incremental policy in the medical insurance field is to establish a diversified payment system. The medical field is about to usher in the reform of "deep water areas" such as salary system and graded diagnosis and treatment, which is in line with expectations on the whole. At the same time, the innovation of China's pharmaceutical industry has gradually stepped onto the international stage, some sub-sectors will be marginally improved, and industry integration will begin. We are optimistic about the investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical industry in 2025. It is suggested to focus on the new increase (innovation, going out to sea, marginal change) and industry integration opportunities.

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